- This has been a pretty lame NBA season. Does anyone else feel like we’ve had to endure 8 months of teams intentionally losing games? The NBA needs to get rid of the ping-pong balls and just randomly pick the order for the lottery. I’m serious, if I ever have to see teams blatantly tanking for 3 straight months like the Celtics, Bucks and Grizzlies did, I’m going to quit being a fan. Most people think the Celtics and Bucks were the most blatant (did you realize that the Celtics once benched their starters for an entire 4th quarter while the opposing team overcame an 18 point deficit and ended up winning the game?), but the Grizzlies were worse. The management used the horrible start caused by Pau’s injury to force out the Czar, traded away the best swing player on the team (Shane Battier) for a guy who hadn’t been very good his first time in Memphis (Stromile Swift), and then had the head of the scouting department take over as head coach.
The Celtics have no excuse, and I will never wish them anything but losing seasons in the future. What they did this year was atrocious. There are only 3 teams in the East with a better top 2 talent-wise than the Celtics’ Pierce-Jefferson (Miami, Pistons, and Cavs), how in the HELL did this team finish dead-last in the conference? This is now, officially, the scummiest team in the NBA. I can’t wait to see Kevin Durant fail miserably with this group.
- The MVP: The formula for NBA MVP goes like this à Team success x exceeding expectations x Individual talent. I know there are a lot of commentators handing the award to Dirk (and he’s played remarkable this year), but frankly, I can’t give it to anyone but....Tim Duncan. Not only did Duncan put in a 20 and 10 (again), but he also added over 2 blocks a game and is single-handily responsible for getting Joey Crawford thrown out of the league indefinitely.
- If you have anyone other than Kevin Martin down for “Most Improved” then you need to think seriously about what kind of fan you are.
- Defensive Player of the Year? Guys like Camby and Marion are stat hounds in this department. Josh Howard has the added bonus of actually playing on a team with a good defense. To be honest I’ve got a tie. Tim Duncan and Shane Battier have both been fantastic for good defensive teams.
- Most exciting young player: Well, Al Jefferson has certainly made strides late in the season, but it is hard to get excited about a guy who leads his team to less than 30 wins (and they were terrible when Pierce was in the lineup too). Dwight Howard is clearly a long ways from being a true force in the league. A.I. Part Duex in Philly is pretty impressive, but he’s been around awhile (relatively speaking). I gotta go with Brandon Roy (who is the Rookie of the Year as well). This guy could get really good. And he cares, so that’s a nice bonus.
- In the West I predicted the 5 of 8 teams in the playoffs correctly. I also had the Spurs winning it all. I’m still convinced.
-Time for me to look back at the beginning of the NBA season and try to figure out why I was such an idiot with my predictions. I only did team-by-team projections for the Eastern Conference, but I’d like to start by pointing out that I got 7 of 8 playoff teams correct (I had the Raptors wrong). Oh yeah.
Philadelphia 76ers
My prediction: 30 wins.
Reality: 35 wins
Why was I wrong? The East was a lot worse than I thought.
Orlando Magic
My prediction: Around 45 wins.
Reality: 40 wins
Why was I wrong? Was I really wrong? Ok, I guess I expected Ariza to stay healthy, Reddit to occasionally play, and Coach Hill to actually play his best players (does anyone realize Tony Battie started 69 games?).
Boston Celtics
Last year: 33-49
My prediction: 40 wins
Reality: 24 wins
Why was I wrong? Well, frankly, I thought this team would try to win games. There’s no excuse for this season. They’ve got good players, they didn’t have much in the way of injury, and they played in the worst conference and division ever.
Toronto Raptors
Last year: 27-55
My prediction: 25 wins?
Reality: 47 wins
Why was I wrong? As I wrote “Sam Mitchell is one of, if not the, worst coach in the NBA.” In other words...I’m an idiot.
Charlotte Bobcats
Last year: 26-56
My prediction: 35 wins
Reality: 33 wins
Why I was wrong? Actually, I don’t think I was. I said the downside was the coach, but in reality it appears the downside is Morrison, who was officially emasculated by Walter Hermann over the last few weeks.
Atlanta Hawks
Last year: 26-56
My prediction: 26 wins
Reality: 30 wins
Why was I wrong? Again, this was within my margin of error. However I did write this: “And hey, looks like they picked up a starting caliber point guard in Speedy Claxton.” Uh...let’s move on to the:
New York Knicks
Last year: 23-59
My prediction: 35 wins
Reality: 33 wins
Why was I wrong? Apparently I’m not an idiot. I did write: “I think Nate Robinson totally sucks.” I think that means I was right about 2 things here.
The Detroit Pistons.
Last year: 64-18, fourth straight appearance in the Eastern Conference Finals.
My prediction: They’re going downhill, maybe 50-55 wins.
Reality: 52 wins
Why was I wrong? Well again, not wrong on this. I said losing Ben was big, and if Chris Webber hadn’t stolen 40 million dollars from the 76ers and then come to the rescue...well...that would have been worse.
Miami Heat.
Last year: 52-30, NBA champs
My prediction: 52 wins.
Reality: 44 wins.
Why was I wrong? Wade got hurt and Shaq got hurt. If one of these guys had been healthy all year they would have gotten 8 more wins (they lost to the Bobcats!!).
New Jersey:
Last year: 49-33. Lost in 5 to Heat.
My prediction: 45 wins.
Reality: 40 wins
Why was I wrong? Nenad Kristic and Richard Jefferson were barely around this year. I wrote: “This team was all smoke and mirrors last year, which makes me think they’ve got a fantastic coach, but that only works for so long.” This team is EVEN MORE smoke and mirrors.
Cleveland
Last year: 50-32
My prediction: 50 wins.
Reality: 50 wins
Why was I right? Because LeBron didn’t care half the year and the Eastern Conference sucked.
Washington.
Last year: 42-40.
My prediction: 42-40.
Reality: 40 wins
Why was I wrong? I think I was right actually (2 wins off?). I should have been wrong, but Caron Butler was injured too much.
Indiana.
Last year: 41-41
My prediction: 35 wins
Reality: 35 wins
Why was I right? Because this is one of the worst-run organizations in the league, that’s why. They hold onto crazy people (Stephen Jackson, Ron Artest), they sign guys and trade them away before they’ve had a chance to do anything (Al Harrington), and they willingly took on 2/5ths of a Golden State Warriors team that spent the last three years playing horrible.
Chicago.
Last year: 41-41.
My prediction: 45 wins.
Reality: 49 wins (as of this writing)
Why was I wrong? Well, Ben Gorden cut back on his atrocious shot selection, Tyrus Thomas doesn’t suck, and Ben Wallace is better than Tyson Chandler was last year. Of course, if they’d held onto Chandler...well...they’d be a force.
Milwaukee.
Last year: 40-42
My prediction: 38 wins.
Reality: 28 wins
Why was I wrong? Oh, could it be because the Bucks have been tanking for 2 months? Or maybe it’s because they traded for a guy who’s always injured? Or because Bogut’s soft? Or because Michael Redd is comically overpaid?